Friday, February 17, 2012

12Z Japanesse models has shift north and west on track and slowed arrival of our winter storm threat

Lets talk about the weather for Saturday weather. It will be beautiful day with highs in the mid to upper 50's. Clouds will increase as the day wears on following by rain overnight not snow. As we had into Sunday morning heavy rain will change to heavy wet snow from west to east as temperatures drop from upper 30's 7am to freezing mark to end the day. I like the latest idea of the Japanessee model and it makes sense given the temperatures and the pattern. American models and Canadian models has it further south. This storm is a similar setup of what we saw January 26, 2011 but stronger. We saw 2.3" of snow and last minute forecasters change from us seeing maybe a dusting to 2" of snow and our sharp cutoff of snow end up being about 40 miles north of here was further north than the models except the Japanesse model which was right from the beginning 3 days before that storm. Here the Japanessee model. It has the low north Alabama. Good enough track of snowstorm here throughout the day Sunday.

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