Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Couple of severe storms over next 5 days

Very warm next 5 days with severe weather chances Friday am and again. Slight chances of storms over the weekend. Highs may reach upper 80's to near 90 Sunday. Very windy Sunday and Monday. Here is the threats for Friday and Monday day 5 on spc.

        Long term continues to indicate on chilly last week to 10days overall of April.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

Wind advisory today; Slight risk of severe weather Monday & Heavy rain

Very windy  evening & night is in store. Low tonight will be near 70. Highs Monday 75. Severe weather looks to be here between 11:00- 5:00pm. Main threat will be damaging winds, hail, and some tornadoes. Winds will gust about 40mph. 2"is rainfall is possible. Tuesday will be mid 50's with sunny skies. Highs will return in the 70's the rest of the week and also storms will return in the forecast to end the week. Thunder over Louisville the 16th looking ahead right now. Highs in the 60's with a t-storms. We will update Thunder as we get closer. The last 10 days of April looks chilly than normal.

Friday, April 1, 2011

Summer forecast ideas & Long range ideas

Here is the Climate Forecast System model. It is a long range for the summer. It has us in a cooler than normal summer. I call it a mild summer across our area. It fits the idea that I been alluding to a couple of weeks ago. Summer forecast will be pretty early than normal as my confidence is rather high.  By the 20th or so of April another chilly pattern looks to be setting up. Will we see our last snow? I don't know but if we are done with snow what a nice ending to our snow season.

Severe weather threat & Flood threat Monday evening and Monday night

Happy April fool's Day. I didn't get chance to update this week. Took a time away but I'm here to give you an update on our severe weather threat for Monday and boy it looks impressive. Wind field ae impressive, temperatures are going to surge, and low will be strong. Main threat for Monday will tornadoes, large hail, damaging winds, and flash flooding. It looks to be during our  NCAA BASKTBALL championship game.  The weekend look good weatherwise. Highs Saturday reaching 60. Sunday in the 70's. It will be windy Sunday. May see few showers early Sunday am.. Here is the latest SPC for Monday threatening weather and hpc precipitation amounts thru Wed am. It has 2-3" across the area.
For Louisville in March
HIGH: 82   there were 2 days in the 80s and 5 days in the 70s
LOW:  31   there were 4 days at 32 degrees or colder
RAIN: 5.17: which was 117% of normal
SNOW: 0.3" which was 14% of normal