Some snow could make it to south portion of the city Wednesday

Highs will be in the 30's tomorrow. Snow showers could make it to south Louisville. It could dust the ground otherwise no accumulation. Better chance of  <1" further south and east. Heaviest snow Wednesday afternoon 2-4" across  SE KY.  Thursday will mid to upper with clear skies. We have snow showers Friday late with a quick drop in temperatures. Highs in the mid to upper 40's before the snow showers arrives then drop in the 30's. Cold Saturday highs in the mid 30's. Sunday low to mid 40's with clear skies.

Coldest air of season so far Saturday but mild up for early next week to the 50's

Thank you for stopping. No changes to be made with our next storm to affect part of Kentucky Wednesday and Wednesday. Heaviest will be SE KY but the question will be how far west and north it snows in KY. I don't know yet. Highs tomorrow upper 30's to near 40 range. Highs in the mid 40's to upper Thursday. Friday our surge of modified Arctic air will move in late and dropping our temperatures. Highs will be near 40 then a band of snow showers may develop. Saturday highs in the mid 30's which will be the coldest so far but not as cold as I mentioned on blog Saturday. This is a quick shot and it's further east. Highs Sunday will be in the 40's and back in the 50's early next week.

Record yearly rainfall

We are 65.85 now and counting. We broke the old record of over 64" back in 2004. We asw 2.48 " inches of rain and.50" rainfall yesterday which makes are total rainfall right at 3" as a 2 day total. Our eyes will turn to our next storm Wednesday- Thursday. Latest models today are keeping this south. UKMET bring us little snow and is the furthest north of the model. We will have to monitor this to see how far north the snow makes it and the timing as I feel the timing is suspect. We won't now for sure until the last minute but the heavest snows will be in SE KY. This is a fast moving system. It will hit and dump.

Latest nam models is developing a snowstorm across the state Wednesday night- Thursday

Yeah I been mentioned on my post on accumulating snows this week. The time frame has been changed. A few models are supporting what I said and as long as I get some support I am not ruling it out. Latest 0z nam says yes starting Wednesday night. It matches now gfs runs earlier today that I examine. The question becomes. Is it correct? Time will tell. I like for the foreign models go to this solution before it's set in stone. It was yesterday and day before that foreign models had another low preesure wave.Tomorrow we will see.

First we have heavy rain and flooding issues to deal with. 2-3" looks good to me with areas western KY ranging 4"-to as much 6" totals thru Tuesday am. Tuesday we will may see some drizzle. Rain will stay east of us with highs around. Wednesday will be around 40 instead of 30's then we may see on our snow Wednesday evening- Thursday.

Big changes is about to transpire in the Ohio Valley

Enjoy the 62-64  degree day because it will be the last 60's we see for a while.The rule for next week will be first the flood potential. The ground is saturated so another round of 2-3"of rain with some areas seeing 4-5". This will be due to a stalled front come by Monday with a wave of low pressure. Rain will start sometime Sunday afternoon before that temperatures are expected to reach 60 with windy conditions. Rain will be very heavy by Monday. A repeat of last Monday is expected. Monday temperatures still looking to hold to in the 50's. Tuesday will be colder with highs in the 40's. The front will pass through just to our east but still be stalled. Another low pressure will ride along the front along with a upper low to the west. They both will work together to produce our first accumulating snows of the season starting Tuesday night through Wednesday night across the state. Highs will be in the 30's. This upper feature is a bit colder than last week setting. Look at it on the Euro for Wednesday pm.

We miss out on the snow last Tuesday because temperaturers wasn't cold enough. Thursday and Friday temperatures will be back into the 40's out of ahead of a huge arctic blast. Look a this bad boy on the Euro. This is impressive.

By Saturday temperatures will be tank big time with this Arctic blast. Also a good chance of accumulating snow and gusty winds. Gfs shows 1000-500mb thickness which supports snow by Saturday am.

So this snow lovers pattern and we will add to the snows as the winter wears on.

Analogs of 1984 had a snowstorm on December 5

Check out the top 8 highest daily snowfall in December. Notice 1984 shows up. 1917 is number it was followed after a moderate La'Nina similar to last year. Also a second La'Nina. Big time snows in December are rare here. Last one 2004 which is on the list below. The total was 10". Look for January to rev up in this part of country.  As stated in my winter forecast December is expected to be a transition month but that's doesn't mean we won't see several inches 2-3" or a snowstorm 4".

Louisville Area  (ThreadEx Station)
Extremes
Highest Daily Snowfall (inches)
Days: 12/1 - 12/31
Length of period: 1 day
Years: 1884-2011

Rank  Value  Ending Date
  1    15.0  12/8/1917
  2     8.2  12/26/1894
  3     7.8  12/23/1939
  4     5.9  12/30/1895
  5     5.5  12/22/2004
  6     5.0  12/9/1961, 12/5/1910
  8     4.7  12/5/1984  9     4.5  12/24/1999, 12/14/1916

Even warmer now this weekend with highs around 60 before heavy rains moves in Sunday night- Tuesday

Highs today will be around 50. 54-55 degrees Friday with good amount of sunshine. Breezy with high clouds Saturday. Highs around 60. Sunday heavy rain moves in the afternoon sometime. As stated yesterday cold front will put the break on and continue heavy rain Monday. 2-3 total rainfall yet again thru Tuesday which will break our all-time record yearly rainfall since 2004. Turning colder Tuesday with rain changing snow with wave low pressure and another cutoff low taking hold. Snow continues Wednesday with upper low around. Look at the euro model for next Tuesday pm