Hello folks. It's been a long time since I update. I some time away. I'm glad to start slowly working my away in the give you updates of the weather. Here below is latest 12Z gfs temperatures for Thursday and Friday. Highs in the upper 60's. I believe we will go below those projected computer generated numbers. I think highs will be low to mid 60's. Rain cool air Thursday should holds down below these numbers. Rain will tapering off later Thursday. Rain amounts will be tricky. Models ( gfs and nam) suggesting .25-.50 on average. If we see heavier bands I can see .50- 1.00" of rain. Windy Friday. Temperatures warming back up to 80 Sunday and Monday.
LOUISVILLE
KSDF GFS MOS GUIDANCE 10/12/2011 1200 UTC
DT /OCT 12/OCT 13 /OCT 14 /OCT 15
HR 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X 57 68 52 68 47
TMP 72 72 67 63 61 60 58 63 66 65 62 60 57 56 54 60 65 66 60 54 49
Winter time is around the corner. My winter forecast will have out in November. All I will have to say right now is we will have a weak to borderline moderate La'Nina this winter. Last year was moderate. Alot of people are on board on a cold/snowy winter and I like what I see in the overall pattern and the analogs I studied over the last few months for us to see a bad winter season. Worst than the previous 2 winters.
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